A reasonable starting point for any climate adaptation process is to assess the vulnerability of the target community or stakeholders. It is important to differ between local direct effects (the effects of climate change in your country and region) and global indirect effects (the effects of climate change in other countries; e.g. reduction in global food security due to climate change in important food export countries). It is important to differ between vulnerability towards climate change and vulnerability towards climate policy. The latter deals with vulnerability towards an expected future with more ambitious climate policy goals, e.g. a dramatic increase in prices on fossil energy.
Process stage 1: Analysing climate vulnerability
– An over view of the following key concepts
– An introduction to climate data and how to effectively use it, with particular emphasis on interpreting regionalised climate data and communicating uncertainties.
– A more in-depth review of the different types of vulnerability, including natural, socio-economic, and institutional forms and how these should be considered in combination.
– A differentiation between vulnerability to todays climate and potential vulnerability to future climates.